Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Wallmark 50.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 88.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 65.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 71.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Larkin
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Larkin
Wallmark
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
2
Larkin
Wallmark
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
3
Larkin
Wallmark
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Wallmark
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
50.5% (1,852)
+1.2%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
56.3% (103)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
44.9% (216)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Larkin
Wallmark
Home
54.0% (6,238)
50.8% (1,070)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
49.6% (1,101)
By Period
Larkin
Wallmark
P1
52.7%
51.4%
P2
53.1%
50.8%
P3
52.1%
48.7%
OT
58.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |