Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Wallmark 50.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 86.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 63.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 64.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Larkin
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Larkin
Wallmark
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Wallmark
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Wallmark
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
2
Larkin
Wallmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
51.8% (956)
+1.1%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
44.1% (59)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
47.4% (114)
+7.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Larkin is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Larkin shoots left. Wallmark is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Larkin
Wallmark
Home
55.8% (805)
52.5% (579)
Away
53.2% (782)
49.3% (550)
By Period
Larkin
Wallmark
P1
55.2%
54.4%
P2
53.3%
48.8%
P3
55.1%
50.1%
OT
51.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |