Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Wallmark 50.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 85.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 65.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 71.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Larkin
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Larkin
Wallmark
Last 7: Larkin 6-1 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Wallmark
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Larkin
Wallmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Wallmark
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
50.2% (633)
+0.8%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
71.9% (32)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
43.2% (88)
+6.4%
On power play, Wallmark has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Larkin shoots left. Wallmark is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Larkin
Wallmark
Home
54.9% (721)
48.6% (368)
Away
49.6% (641)
51.9% (385)
By Period
Larkin
Wallmark
P1
52.4%
49.0%
P2
50.8%
55.0%
P3
54.4%
47.1%
Final 5 min
57.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2019 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |