Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 56.4%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 60.2%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 59.8%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Larkin
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Larkin
Hanzal
Last 8: Larkin 7-1 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
0
Larkin
Hanzal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Larkin
Hanzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
54.0% (5,547)
-2.3%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
56.7% (1,179)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
46.0% (644)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hanzal
Home
54.0% (6,238)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Larkin
Hanzal
P1
52.7%
54.9%
P2
53.1%
53.6%
P3
52.1%
52.4%
OT
58.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |