Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Hanzal 54.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 58.4%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 87.6%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 72.5%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Larkin
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Larkin
Hanzal
Last 6: Larkin 5-1 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Hanzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Larkin
Hanzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
56.7% (321)
-8.2%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
60.6% (33)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
46.3% (80)
+2.4%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Larkin shoots left. Hanzal is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hanzal
Home
51.4% (652)
58.6% (220)
Away
48.5% (662)
51.4% (214)
By Period
Larkin
Hanzal
P1
49.1%
58.3%
P2
52.0%
56.7%
P3
48.0%
50.4%
OT
52.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |