Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Richards 50.5% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 51.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Larkin
Richards
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
50.0% (3,722)
+1.7%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
54.6% (445)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
51.4% (502)
-1.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Larkin
Richards
Home
54.0% (6,238)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Larkin
Richards
P1
52.7%
49.6%
P2
53.1%
52.3%
P3
52.1%
49.3%
OT
58.4%
58.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%