Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Lindholm 50.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 86.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 53.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 61.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Larkin
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Larkin
Lindholm
Last 8: Larkin 5-3 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Lindholm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Larkin
Lindholm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
51.1% (274)
+1.8%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
33.3% (6)
+29.8%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
48.8% (127)
+6.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Larkin is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Larkin shoots left. Lindholm is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lindholm
Home
55.8% (805)
56.3% (183)
Away
53.2% (782)
45.1% (224)
By Period
Larkin
Lindholm
P1
55.2%
47.7%
P2
53.3%
51.0%
P3
55.1%
51.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |