Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Marleau 51.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 60.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 53.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Larkin
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larkin
Marleau
Last 6: Larkin 4-2 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
2
Larkin
Marleau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
53.8% (251)
-5.3%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
47.1% (34)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
37.5% (16)
+11.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Larkin shoots left. Marleau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Larkin
Marleau
Home
51.4% (652)
60.4% (111)
Away
48.5% (662)
47.4% (190)
By Period
Larkin
Marleau
P1
49.1%
54.7%
P2
52.0%
51.5%
P3
48.0%
49.2%
OT
52.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |