Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Plekanec 50.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.1%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 52.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 62.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Larkin
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Larkin
Plekanec
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
3
Larkin
Plekanec
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
3
Larkin
Plekanec
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
2
3
Larkin
Plekanec
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (8,914)
50.8% (8,558)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.5% (2,099)
51.3% (1,151)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (1,102)
46.0% (1,924)
+4.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,773).
Larkin shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Larkin
Plekanec
Home
54.0% (6,206)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
51.4% (5,909)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Larkin
Plekanec
P1
52.7%
52.5%
P2
53.1%
48.9%
P3
52.1%
49.0%
OT
58.6%
51.1%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.7%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |