Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Plekanec 50.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 61.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Larkin
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larkin
Plekanec
Last 5: Larkin 3-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Plekanec
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Larkin
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
51.6% (31)
+1.3%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
100.0% (1)
-36.9%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
33.3% (6)
+21.9%
On power play, Plekanec has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Larkin is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Larkin shoots left. Plekanec is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Larkin
Plekanec
Home
55.8% (805)
50.0% (38)
Away
53.2% (782)
0.0% (0)
By Period
Larkin
Plekanec
P1
55.2%
71.4%
P2
53.3%
58.3%
P3
55.1%
36.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |