Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 46.2% vs Zajac 54.4% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 77.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 80.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 78.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Larkin
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larkin
Zajac
Last 5: Larkin 1-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Larkin
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Larkin
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Larkin
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (391)
54.1% (1,208)
-8.6%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
60.9% (230)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
50.3% (179)
-0.3%
On power play, Zajac has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Larkin is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Larkin shoots left. Zajac is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Larkin
Zajac
Home
47.0% (181)
56.3% (778)
Away
44.2% (251)
53.2% (839)
By Period
Larkin
Zajac
P1
42.7%
56.3%
P2
52.4%
54.6%
P3
41.8%
53.1%
OT
20.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |