Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Hyman 44.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 93.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 80.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Larkin
Hyman
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Larkin
Hyman
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Hyman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
1
Larkin
Hyman
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hyman
0
4
Larkin
Hyman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Hyman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hyman
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
45.4% (271)
+6.3%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
33.3% (15)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
43.9% (485)
+6.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hyman shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Hyman is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hyman
Home
54.0% (6,238)
49.9% (365)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
39.2% (406)
By Period
Larkin
Hyman
P1
52.7%
44.1%
P2
53.1%
40.6%
P3
52.1%
49.1%
OT
58.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
38.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Hyman
44.0%▲
42.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Zach Hyman |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Zach Hyman |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |