Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hyman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hyman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Hyman 48.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 57.1%
Defensive zone
Hyman 80.0%
Neutral zone
Hyman 61.1%
Result
Zach Hyman favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Larkin
Hyman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Hyman
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Hyman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Hyman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hyman
0
3
Larkin
Hyman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hyman
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
47.1% (87)
+5.8%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
37.5% (8)
+25.6%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
48.6% (142)
+6.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hyman shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Larkin shoots left. Hyman is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hyman
Home
55.8% (805)
53.2% (111)
Away
53.2% (782)
42.9% (126)
By Period
Larkin
Hyman
P1
55.2%
48.4%
P2
53.3%
41.8%
P3
55.1%
53.0%
OT
51.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Hyman
44.0%▲
42.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Zach Hyman |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |