Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cogliano wins 30.6% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 39.5% vs Strome 52.6% (-19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 93.6%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 65.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 63.2%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Cogliano
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cogliano
Strome
Last 7: Cogliano 4-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
3
Cogliano
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
3
0
Cogliano
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cogliano
1
0
Cogliano
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
35.8% (53)
50.6% (1,002)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (110)
57.9% (19)
-26.1%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Cogliano is 30.6% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Cogliano shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Strome
Home
40.9% (88)
51.9% (700)
Away
24.0% (75)
53.9% (620)
By Period
Cogliano
Strome
P1
38.2%
51.6%
P2
28.6%
53.0%
P3
34.2%
54.3%
OT
28.6%
44.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
33.1%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |