Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Strome 53.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 86.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 88.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 58.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Lazar
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lazar
Strome
Last 8: Lazar 5-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Lazar
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
4
0
Lazar
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Lazar
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
52.6% (968)
-1.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
56.9% (311)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
62.5% (8)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Lazar
Strome
Home
49.7% (163)
53.4% (653)
Away
52.3% (237)
53.9% (634)
By Period
Lazar
Strome
P1
46.9%
49.3%
P2
53.3%
54.6%
P3
53.3%
56.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |