Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Bailey 45.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 72.6%
Defensive zone
Bailey 88.9%
Neutral zone
Bailey 77.7%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Strome
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Strome
Bailey
Last 5: Strome 0-5 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Strome
Bailey
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
1
Strome
Bailey
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
3
Strome
Bailey
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
45.8% (1,991)
+4.3%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
48.1% (295)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
39.9% (281)
+5.7%
On power play, Strome has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Strome
Bailey
Home
51.1% (3,968)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Strome
Bailey
P1
50.4%
46.5%
P2
52.1%
44.8%
P3
52.3%
44.4%
OT
52.8%
51.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |