Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 74.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 71.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 51.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Strome
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Strome
Stastny
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
1
Strome
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Strome
Stastny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Strome
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.5%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
59.1% (1,994)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
52.9% (1,119)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Strome
Stastny
Home
51.1% (3,968)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Strome
Stastny
P1
50.4%
56.3%
P2
52.1%
55.4%
P3
52.3%
53.5%
OT
52.8%
62.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |