Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.5% vs Stastny 54.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 63.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 73.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 65.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Strome
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Strome
Stastny
Last 6: Strome 4-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Strome
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (829)
52.8% (657)
-5.5%
Power Play
69.0% (58)
61.0% (118)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
61.1% (72)
-41.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Strome is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Strome shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Strome
Stastny
Home
49.8% (468)
53.0% (464)
Away
46.9% (429)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Strome
Stastny
P1
46.1%
47.9%
P2
52.9%
59.6%
P3
46.3%
54.9%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
70.0%▲
59.5%
48.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |