Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Johansen 53.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 24-22 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 73.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 67.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Strome
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
24
(46 meetings)
22
24
Strome
Johansen
Last 10: Strome 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
11
6
Strome
Johansen
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
9
Strome
Johansen
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
8
9
Strome
Johansen
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
53.1% (11,017)
-3.0%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
56.2% (2,163)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
50.5% (978)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Strome is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,655).
Strome shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Strome
Johansen
Home
51.1% (3,968)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Strome
Johansen
P1
50.4%
53.2%
P2
52.1%
53.9%
P3
52.3%
52.8%
OT
52.8%
58.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |