Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Strome wins 39.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 47.6% vs Johansen 51.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 52.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 70.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 68.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Strome
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Strome
Johansen
Last 10: Strome 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
2
Strome
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (310)
51.5% (615)
-5.0%
Power Play
49.1% (110)
54.3% (140)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.3% (67)
-46.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Strome is 39.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Strome shoots left. Johansen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Strome
Johansen
Home
46.3% (216)
52.4% (389)
Away
47.8% (205)
50.8% (433)
By Period
Strome
Johansen
P1
48.5%
53.4%
P2
50.7%
49.1%
P3
41.5%
51.5%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
47.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 27, 2021 | OT | 02:10 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |