Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.5% vs Kesler 55.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 52.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 87.5%
Neutral zone
Kesler 77.0%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Strome
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Strome
Kesler
Last 9: Strome 6-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
1
Strome
Kesler
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Strome
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (829)
55.7% (741)
-8.4%
Power Play
69.0% (58)
67.0% (100)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
50.0% (204)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Strome is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Strome shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Strome
Kesler
Home
49.8% (468)
52.5% (522)
Away
46.9% (429)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Strome
Kesler
P1
46.1%
56.7%
P2
52.9%
56.8%
P3
46.3%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 10, 2018 | OT | 01:00 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |