Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.2% vs Lindholm 54.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 55.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 53.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 53.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Backes
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Backes
Lindholm
Last 7: Backes 3-4 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Lindholm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
2
Backes
Lindholm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Backes
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (179)
53.0% (598)
-1.0%
Power Play
55.8% (52)
62.2% (111)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
54.8% (84)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Backes is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Backes shoots right. Lindholm is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Backes
Lindholm
Home
53.8% (160)
58.6% (403)
Away
47.6% (82)
50.3% (390)
By Period
Backes
Lindholm
P1
53.8%
59.2%
P2
58.0%
54.2%
P3
41.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |