Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 49.3% vs Nielsen 50.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 75.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 77.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 52.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Lindholm
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lindholm
Nielsen
Last 5: Lindholm 4-1 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Nielsen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (305)
50.7% (899)
-3.5%
Power Play
59.8% (102)
54.8% (73)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
45.7% (197)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Lindholm is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Lindholm shoots right. Nielsen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Nielsen
Home
48.5% (198)
51.1% (595)
Away
49.6% (236)
49.1% (574)
By Period
Lindholm
Nielsen
P1
52.8%
53.2%
P2
51.6%
48.1%
P3
44.1%
49.3%
OT
42.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
49.1%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |