Elias Lindholm vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Pageau 58.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 66.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 67.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Lindholm
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lindholm
Pageau
Last 5: Lindholm 3-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
59.5% (676)
-5.1%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
67.6% (34)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
60.1% (213)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lindholm is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lindholm shoots right. Pageau is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Pageau
Home
55.8% (541)
58.2% (364)
Away
54.7% (428)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Lindholm
Pageau
P1
54.8%
54.4%
P2
55.7%
62.3%
P3
55.6%
62.0%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Pageau
58.0%▼
59.5%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |