Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.3%). Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.7% vs Thornton 54.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 61.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 55.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 61.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Lindholm
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
15
(32 meetings)
17
15
Lindholm
Thornton
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Lindholm
Thornton
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
4
Lindholm
Thornton
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Lindholm
Thornton
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (8,338)
53.5% (6,640)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.2% (1,683)
57.2% (1,387)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,588)
56.7% (427)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Lindholm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (8,933).
Lindholm shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thornton
Home
54.0% (5,833)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
53.5% (5,776)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Lindholm
Thornton
P1
53.9%
55.0%
P2
54.4%
53.3%
P3
52.9%
54.4%
OT
53.6%
56.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |