Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Thornton 52.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 62.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 61.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 63.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Lindholm
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Lindholm
Thornton
Last 9: Lindholm 3-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
3
Lindholm
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Lindholm
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (636)
52.5% (638)
+3.3%
Power Play
57.1% (161)
57.1% (35)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (140)
50.0% (2)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Lindholm is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Lindholm shoots right. Thornton is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thornton
Home
56.1% (490)
54.8% (341)
Away
52.3% (447)
50.6% (334)
By Period
Lindholm
Thornton
P1
53.2%
55.2%
P2
57.1%
56.5%
P3
53.0%
47.1%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.3%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |