Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 51.2% vs Thompson 50.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 65.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 54.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Lindholm
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
Thompson
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Lindholm
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (698)
49.6% (230)
+1.7%
Power Play
58.3% (115)
50.0% (2)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
53.8% (52)
-6.6%
On power play, Lindholm has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Lindholm is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Lindholm shoots right. Thompson is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thompson
Home
49.7% (471)
52.2% (134)
Away
52.9% (520)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Lindholm
Thompson
P1
53.8%
54.5%
P2
51.4%
48.0%
P3
49.4%
48.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |