Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 49.3% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 91.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 83.7%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 55.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Lindholm
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
Gaustad
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Lindholm
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (305)
56.2% (603)
-9.0%
Power Play
59.8% (102)
71.4% (21)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
49.3% (148)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Lindholm is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Lindholm shoots right. Gaustad is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Gaustad
Home
48.5% (198)
55.5% (366)
Away
49.6% (236)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Lindholm
Gaustad
P1
52.8%
55.0%
P2
51.6%
56.9%
P3
44.1%
53.7%
OT
42.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |