Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Kesler 55.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 65.6%
Defensive zone
Kesler 77.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 55.3%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Lindholm
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Lindholm
Kesler
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
2
Lindholm
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (636)
55.7% (741)
+0.1%
Power Play
57.1% (161)
67.0% (100)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (140)
50.0% (204)
-5.7%
On power play, Kesler has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Lindholm is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Lindholm shoots right. Kesler is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Kesler
Home
56.1% (490)
52.5% (522)
Away
52.3% (447)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Lindholm
Kesler
P1
53.2%
56.7%
P2
57.1%
56.8%
P3
53.0%
54.1%
OT
40.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
55.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |