Elias Lindholm vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 58.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 55.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 51.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Lindholm
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lindholm
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Lindholm
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
58.5% (135)
-4.1%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
80.0% (5)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
44.4% (18)
+5.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Karlsson
Home
55.8% (541)
63.7% (91)
Away
54.7% (428)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Lindholm
Karlsson
P1
54.8%
54.4%
P2
55.7%
66.7%
P3
55.6%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |