Elias Pettersson vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 73.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 86.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 60.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Pettersson
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Pettersson
Gaudreau
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
5
3
Pettersson
Gaudreau
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
7
Pettersson
Gaudreau
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
45.0% (389)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
31.8% (22)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
37.6% (125)
-2.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Gaudreau
Home
49.3% (584)
42.6% (277)
Away
44.5% (555)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Pettersson
Gaudreau
P1
45.8%
43.8%
P2
47.9%
44.8%
P3
47.1%
39.2%
Final 5 min
45.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |