Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs Hartman 43.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 79.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 66.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 67.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Pettersson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pettersson
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
42.4% (618)
+1.4%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
45.9% (61)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
40.0% (15)
-4.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Pettersson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Pettersson shoots left. Hartman is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hartman
Home
48.3% (453)
41.9% (372)
Away
43.4% (495)
43.5% (322)
By Period
Pettersson
Hartman
P1
44.7%
41.3%
P2
46.0%
40.8%
P3
46.4%
45.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |