Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Hartman 45.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 64.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 50.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 50.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Pettersson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pettersson
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
44.8% (830)
+1.1%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
47.8% (92)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
37.5% (16)
-2.0%
On power play, Pettersson has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hartman
Home
49.3% (584)
45.0% (515)
Away
44.5% (555)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Pettersson
Hartman
P1
45.8%
46.5%
P2
47.9%
39.9%
P3
47.1%
48.6%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |