Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Pinto 50.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 60.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 84.3%
Neutral zone
Pinto 58.7%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Pettersson
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pettersson
Pinto
Last 6: Pettersson 4-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
0
Pettersson
Pinto
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Pettersson
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
50.2% (520)
-4.3%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
68.0% (25)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
49.4% (89)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Pinto
Home
49.3% (584)
48.8% (301)
Away
44.5% (555)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Pettersson
Pinto
P1
45.8%
51.2%
P2
47.9%
48.9%
P3
47.1%
53.3%
OT
47.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |