Elias Pettersson vs Zack Ostapchuk
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 79.1%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 54.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 54.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Last 9: Pettersson 3-6 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
3
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
51.7% (300)
-5.8%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
33.3% (3)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
43.6% (55)
-8.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Home
49.3% (584)
49.1% (161)
Away
44.5% (555)
51.3% (197)
By Period
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
P1
45.8%
50.0%
P2
47.9%
45.7%
P3
47.1%
55.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |