Elias Pettersson vs Zack Ostapchuk

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Zack Ostapchuk holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pettersson 47.2% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pettersson 79.1%
Defensive zone Ostapchuk 54.2%
Neutral zone Pettersson 54.7%
Result Elias Pettersson favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Pettersson Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 6 (9 meetings)
3
6
Pettersson Ostapchuk
Last 9: Pettersson 3-6 Ostapchuk

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
3
Pettersson Ostapchuk
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson Ostapchuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Pettersson Ostapchuk
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
51.7% (300)
-5.8%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
33.3% (3)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
43.6% (55)
-8.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +22.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Home
49.3% (584)
49.1% (161)
Away
44.5% (555)
51.3% (197)
By Period
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
P1
45.8%
50.0%
P2
47.9%
45.7%
P3
47.1%
55.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%
50.5%
47.0%
Ostapchuk
44.0%
48.5%
50.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 27, 2026 3 16:00 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Jan 27, 2026 3 06:05 Offensive Zack Ostapchuk
Jan 27, 2026 3 05:57 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Jan 27, 2026 3 01:21 Neutral Zack Ostapchuk
Jan 27, 2026 2 16:21 Offensive Elias Pettersson
Jan 27, 2026 2 14:47 Offensive Zack Ostapchuk
Jan 27, 2026 2 04:49 Offensive Zack Ostapchuk
Dec 27, 2025 3 04:53 Defensive Zack Ostapchuk
Dec 27, 2025 3 04:47 Neutral Zack Ostapchuk