Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. MacKenzie wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Belanger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 57.2% vs Belanger 52.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belanger 56.2%
Defensive zone
Belanger 65.0%
Neutral zone
Belanger 55.5%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
MacKenzie
Belanger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
MacKenzie
Belanger
Last 5: MacKenzie 2-3 Belanger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Belanger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
0
2
MacKenzie
Belanger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Belanger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Belanger
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (264)
58.5% (270)
+2.5%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
55.6% (9)
+44.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
40.4% (99)
+8.7%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Belanger shoots left. MacKenzie is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (234).
MacKenzie shoots left. Belanger is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Belanger
Home
62.1% (145)
50.9% (159)
Away
57.3% (178)
55.7% (219)
By Period
MacKenzie
Belanger
P1
51.6%
52.3%
P2
59.8%
51.5%
P3
65.8%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |