Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Penner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Penner wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Belanger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 44.6% vs Belanger 54.9% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Penner 72.7%
Defensive zone
Belanger 65.0%
Neutral zone
Penner 52.9%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Penner
Belanger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Penner
Belanger
Last 5: Penner 2-3 Belanger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
0
1
Penner
Belanger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Penner
2
1
Penner
Belanger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
0
1
Penner
Belanger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Belanger
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (151)
56.5% (1,019)
-15.4%
Power Play
50.0% (92)
62.0% (108)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (59)
42.1% (164)
-6.5%
On even strength, Belanger has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Belanger shoots left. Penner is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (197).
Penner shoots left. Belanger is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Penner
Belanger
Home
47.5% (158)
58.2% (672)
Away
37.8% (148)
52.2% (625)
By Period
Penner
Belanger
P1
38.1%
54.4%
P2
36.2%
54.6%
P3
54.7%
57.1%
OT
27.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
42.8%
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2010 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 19, 2010 | OT | 03:10 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 19, 2010 | OT | 02:57 | Defensive | Dustin Penner |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |