Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Arnott 50.3% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 89.6%
Defensive zone
Belanger 55.6%
Neutral zone
Arnott 67.6%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Belanger
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Belanger
Arnott
Last 10: Belanger 3-7 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
3
Belanger
Arnott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Belanger
Arnott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
4
3
Belanger
Arnott
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
49.7% (1,444)
+7.4%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
53.8% (182)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
40.0% (15)
+4.9%
On even strength, Belanger has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Belanger is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Belanger shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Belanger
Arnott
Home
56.3% (1,350)
52.1% (891)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Belanger
Arnott
P1
53.5%
46.1%
P2
55.4%
53.6%
P3
56.2%
50.1%
OT
53.1%
71.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |