Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs Arnott 50.3% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 89.9%
Defensive zone
Belanger 58.3%
Neutral zone
Arnott 70.0%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Belanger
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Belanger
Arnott
Last 9: Belanger 3-6 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
3
Belanger
Arnott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Belanger
Arnott
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
50.5% (667)
+6.9%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
49.4% (89)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (196)
60.0% (5)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Arnott has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Belanger is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Belanger shoots left. Arnott is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Belanger
Arnott
Home
55.5% (519)
53.1% (431)
Away
55.1% (488)
46.7% (338)
By Period
Belanger
Arnott
P1
53.1%
46.9%
P2
58.0%
52.9%
P3
54.5%
50.4%
OT
63.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |