Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Belanger wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Smithson 56.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Belanger leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Belanger 56.3%
Defensive zone
Smithson 71.1%
Neutral zone
Smithson 58.0%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Belanger
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Belanger
Smithson
Last 10: Belanger 7-3 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
7
0
Belanger
Smithson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
3
Belanger
Smithson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
3
Belanger
Smithson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,019)
59.8% (778)
-3.3%
Power Play
62.0% (108)
54.2% (24)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (164)
49.0% (198)
-6.9%
On power play, Belanger has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Belanger is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (425).
Belanger shoots left. Smithson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Belanger
Smithson
Home
58.2% (672)
59.2% (534)
Away
52.2% (625)
55.5% (472)
By Period
Belanger
Smithson
P1
54.4%
56.1%
P2
54.6%
58.0%
P3
57.1%
58.6%
OT
42.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |