Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — McCarthy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs McCarthy 48.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarthy 54.4%
Defensive zone
Belanger 88.2%
Neutral zone
Belanger 82.3%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Belanger
McCarthy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Belanger
McCarthy
Last 7: Belanger 5-2 McCarthy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarthy
0
1
Belanger
McCarthy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
0
Belanger
McCarthy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
1
Belanger
McCarthy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
McCarthy
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
49.0% (198)
+8.1%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
33.3% (6)
+24.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
33.3% (9)
+11.6%
On power play, Belanger has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarthy shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. McCarthy is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Belanger
McCarthy
Home
56.3% (1,350)
51.7% (116)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
43.3% (97)
By Period
Belanger
McCarthy
P1
53.5%
41.1%
P2
55.4%
58.9%
P3
56.2%
43.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
McCarthy
60.0%▲
48.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2012 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | John McCarthy |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | John McCarthy |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |