Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — McCarthy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs McCarthy 47.6% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belanger 51.2%
Defensive zone
Belanger 89.3%
Neutral zone
Belanger 81.5%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Belanger
McCarthy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Belanger
McCarthy
Last 7: Belanger 5-2 McCarthy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarthy
0
1
Belanger
McCarthy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
0
Belanger
McCarthy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
1
Belanger
McCarthy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
McCarthy
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
43.9% (41)
+13.5%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
0.0% (2)
+49.0%
On power play, Belanger has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarthy shoots left. Belanger is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Belanger shoots left. McCarthy is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Belanger
McCarthy
Home
55.5% (519)
46.2% (26)
Away
55.1% (488)
35.3% (17)
By Period
Belanger
McCarthy
P1
53.1%
40.0%
P2
58.0%
64.3%
P3
54.5%
21.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
McCarthy
60.0%▲
48.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2012 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | John McCarthy |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | John McCarthy |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |