Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.4%). Look for Belanger on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Tavares 54.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Belanger leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.3%
Defensive zone
Belanger 82.6%
Neutral zone
Belanger 53.7%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Belanger
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Belanger
Tavares
Last 10: Belanger 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
1
0
Belanger
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
1
Belanger
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
2
Belanger
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
54.0% (16,108)
+3.1%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
56.5% (4,283)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
50.6% (620)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Belanger
Tavares
Home
56.3% (1,350)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Belanger
Tavares
P1
53.5%
55.0%
P2
55.4%
54.1%
P3
56.2%
54.1%
OT
53.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |