Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Tavares 52.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 63.8%
Defensive zone
Belanger 89.0%
Neutral zone
Belanger 70.3%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Belanger
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Belanger
Tavares
Last 5: Belanger 4-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
0
Belanger
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,019)
52.1% (992)
+4.4%
Power Play
62.0% (108)
53.7% (294)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (164)
50.0% (22)
-7.9%
On power play, Belanger has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Belanger is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Belanger shoots left. Tavares is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Belanger
Tavares
Home
58.2% (672)
51.7% (679)
Away
52.2% (625)
53.4% (640)
By Period
Belanger
Tavares
P1
54.4%
52.2%
P2
54.6%
49.3%
P3
57.1%
56.3%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |