Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Belanger wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs Toews 58.6% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 67.8%
Defensive zone
Belanger 83.7%
Neutral zone
Belanger 63.1%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Belanger
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Belanger
Toews
Last 10: Belanger 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
6
Belanger
Toews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
5
1
Belanger
Toews
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Belanger
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
58.5% (775)
-1.1%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
64.9% (225)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (196)
55.8% (120)
-6.3%
On power play, Toews has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Belanger is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Belanger shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Belanger
Toews
Home
55.5% (519)
63.0% (567)
Away
55.1% (488)
55.8% (570)
By Period
Belanger
Toews
P1
53.1%
59.6%
P2
58.0%
58.2%
P3
54.5%
60.7%
OT
63.6%
52.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |