Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Belanger wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 52.9% vs Toews 59.0% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 73.8%
Defensive zone
Belanger 76.4%
Neutral zone
Belanger 61.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Belanger
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Belanger
Toews
Last 7: Belanger 3-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
4
Belanger
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
0
Belanger
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
1
0
Belanger
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (270)
57.3% (736)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
71.4% (133)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (99)
66.1% (62)
-25.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Belanger is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Belanger shoots left. Toews is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Belanger
Toews
Home
50.9% (159)
61.0% (479)
Away
55.7% (219)
58.8% (454)
By Period
Belanger
Toews
P1
52.3%
61.3%
P2
51.5%
57.9%
P3
58.3%
59.3%
OT
57.1%
73.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |