Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 55.3%). Look for Belanger on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 72.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Belanger
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Belanger
Staal
Last 7: Belanger 5-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
1
0
Belanger
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
1
Belanger
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
55.9% (14,620)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
62.7% (1,745)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
48.0% (2,896)
-3.1%
On power play, Staal has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Belanger
Staal
Home
56.3% (1,350)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Belanger
Staal
P1
53.5%
55.2%
P2
55.4%
55.9%
P3
56.2%
54.9%
OT
53.1%
56.2%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2011 | OT | 01:42 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |