Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Belanger wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs Staal 51.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belanger 55.8%
Defensive zone
Belanger 71.0%
Neutral zone
Belanger 74.0%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Belanger
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Belanger
Staal
Last 7: Belanger 5-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
1
0
Belanger
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
1
Belanger
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
52.3% (790)
+5.1%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
54.4% (114)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (196)
45.0% (218)
+4.5%
On power play, Staal has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Belanger is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Belanger shoots left. Staal is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Belanger
Staal
Home
55.5% (519)
54.9% (628)
Away
55.1% (488)
46.4% (530)
By Period
Belanger
Staal
P1
53.1%
50.3%
P2
58.0%
52.4%
P3
54.5%
50.4%
OT
63.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2011 | OT | 01:42 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |