Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.0%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Belanger wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 52.9% vs Koivu 53.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 80.4%
Defensive zone
Belanger 79.6%
Neutral zone
Belanger 59.7%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Belanger
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Belanger
Koivu
Last 10: Belanger 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Belanger
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
0
Belanger
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Belanger
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (270)
53.6% (739)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
56.2% (137)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (99)
53.7% (95)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Belanger is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Belanger shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Belanger
Koivu
Home
50.9% (159)
56.0% (495)
Away
55.7% (219)
51.9% (476)
By Period
Belanger
Koivu
P1
52.3%
54.9%
P2
51.5%
53.5%
P3
58.3%
53.6%
OT
57.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |