Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs Marleau 51.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belanger 54.1%
Defensive zone
Belanger 80.8%
Neutral zone
Belanger 70.1%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Belanger
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Belanger
Marleau
Last 7: Belanger 5-2 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Belanger
Marleau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
0
Belanger
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
50.1% (347)
+7.3%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
51.2% (41)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (196)
61.1% (72)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Belanger is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Belanger shoots left. Marleau is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Belanger
Marleau
Home
55.5% (519)
54.8% (263)
Away
55.1% (488)
48.5% (204)
By Period
Belanger
Marleau
P1
53.1%
53.9%
P2
58.0%
47.5%
P3
54.5%
56.8%
OT
63.6%
14.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 1 | 18:37 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |