Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Belanger 65.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 51.6%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 51.6%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Belanger
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Belanger
Gaustad
Last 10: Belanger 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
1
Belanger
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
4
Belanger
Gaustad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
58.2% (4,334)
-1.1%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
65.4% (188)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
54.8% (1,290)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Belanger
Gaustad
Home
56.3% (1,350)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Belanger
Gaustad
P1
53.5%
58.2%
P2
55.4%
56.4%
P3
56.2%
58.3%
OT
53.1%
66.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 18:27 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |